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VIRTUAL GSL Public Lecture: Geology in the IPCC

27 October 2021
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Virtual event, Lecture
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Geology in the IPCC: How the geological record and paleoclimates inform understanding and prediction of our future climate

The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change came out in August 2021.  It highlighted the latest understanding of climate change, with the ultimate aim of informing policymakers.  The main focus of the report was on future projections of climate change, and carbon budgets associated with targets for limiting dangerous climate change impacts; however, much of this information was actually underpinned by geology - in particular paleoclimate records and modelling.  The geological record provided crucial context for our current and future changes,  constraints on the policy-relevant metric of climate sensitivity, and evaluation, in a paleo context, of the models used to predict the future.  

In this Public Lecture, Professor Dan Lunt from the  University of Bristol, one of the Lead Authors of the report, will summarise the main findings of the report, and provide an overview of the part played by Geology in underpinning these main findings.


Professor Dan Lunt, University of Bristol

Dan Lunt carried out his undergraduate degree (MPhys) in Physics at the University of Oxford (1994-1998), followed by a PhD in Meteorology at the University of Reading (1998-2002). After a postdoc at the Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE) in Paris, he moved to the School of Geographical Sciences at the University of Bristol in 2003. In 2014 he became Professor of Climate Science. He is a visiting scientist at Stockholm University, and is currently an Affiliate Scientist at the National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado.

In 2010 Dan was awarded the Philip Leverhulme Prize for my work on climate modelling. From 2007-2015 he was the founding and Chief Executive Editor of the journal Geoscientific Model Development (GMD). He lead the international DeepMIP program (, and is a Lead Author of Chapter 7 (The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 6th Assessment Report (AR6).   


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